| Wellbeing value: Under 11s / ages 7–11 (active 2+/wk: £3,100 / fairly active: £1,700) |
Active £3,100 / Fairly active £1,700 / child / yr |
Sport England Social Value Model Year 2 (November 2025) (Sheffield Hallam / MMU / State of Life) sportengland.org |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Wellbeing value: Under 16s / ages 11–16 (active 2+/wk: £4,300 / fairly active: £3,300) |
Active £4,300 / Fairly active £3,300 / child / yr |
Sport England Social Value Model Year 2 (November 2025) (Sheffield Hallam / MMU / State of Life) |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Wellbeing value: active adult (2+ sessions/week) |
£2,600 / adult / yr |
Sport England Social Value Model Year 2 (November 2025) |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Wellbeing value: fairly active adult (1 session/week) |
£1,200 / adult / yr |
Sport England Social Value Model |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Wellbeing value: disabled/long-term health condition adult |
£5,100 / adult / yr |
Sport England Social Value Model |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Health & productivity savings per active adult |
£478 / adult / yr |
Conservative derivation from Sport England Secondary Value Model (£10.5bn total across active population). Includes GP visit reduction and mental health service savings. sportengland.org |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Health & productivity savings per active child (internal proxy) |
£90 / child / yr |
Conservative derivation, Sport England Secondary Value Model (youth health outcomes component) |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Volunteer economic value (salary equivalent) |
£13.20 / hour |
DCMS/London Economics 2024 replacement cost methodology, based on Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) mapping of volunteer roles. This is the current government-recommended approach for valuing volunteer time in public sector appraisals. DCMS Community Life Survey |
2024 |
| Volunteer wellbeing value per volunteer per year |
£2,100 / vol / yr |
UK Social Value Model Year 2 (November 2025) primary value component. Current build uses a single regular-volunteer wellbeing rate (£2,100/yr). Primary sources: DCMS/London Economics 2025 replacement cost methodology (England) · UK Social Value Model Year 2 (November 2025). sportengland.org |
Year 2 (November 2025) |
| Community programme value per participant |
Removed |
Previously £650/participant/yr — removed as no defensible evidence base could be identified. The £14.2bn community cohesion figure belongs to earlier Sport England research and is not part of the current Year 2 (November 2025) model. Community value is acknowledged qualitatively in reports but excluded from the headline social value figure. |
N/A — removed |
| WELLBY monetary unit (1-point life satisfaction change) |
£15,900 / WELLBY |
HM Treasury Green Book Supplementary Guidance on Wellbeing (2021), uprated to 2024 prices. LSE / Simetrica-Jacobs methodology. Base value: £13,000 (2019 prices). gov.uk |
2024 |
| Neurodivergent prevalence estimate |
10–20% (user-selected) |
ADHD: ~5–7% (NHS England); Autism: ~1–2% (NHS England); Dyslexia: ~10% (British Dyslexia Association); with significant co-occurrence. Default of 14% reflects combined conservative estimate with overlap adjustment. |
2023 |
| Annual mental health difficulty prevalence (children/youth) |
~20% / year |
NHS England Mental Health of Children and Young People in England Survey 2023. ~1 in 5 children and young people (updated from previously cited 1-in-4 figure). 20.3% of 8–16-year-olds, 23.3% of 17–19-year-olds had a probable mental disorder. |
2023 |
| Value at Stake — scenario model |
12% disengagement assumption |
This is a scenario model, not an evidence-based projection. It applies a 12% assumed disengagement rate to the additional-need cohort (players estimated to require additional support), multiplied by average wellbeing value per player. The 12% figure is a deliberate conservative lower bound — Smith et al. (2024), a scoping review of 143 studies commissioned by Sport England (Edge Hill University, October 2024), found attrition rates of 7–33% in single-arm CYP sport intervention studies and 2–51% in RCTs. Using 12% positions this estimate conservatively within that range. This figure should be treated as a prompt for reflection, not a forecast. |
Smith et al. (2024) — Sport England scoping review |
| Group sport effect size — CYP mental health |
SMD –1.06 (group) vs –0.32 (individual) |
Smith et al. (2024), Edge Hill University / Sport England — scoping review of 143 studies examining sport and physical activity interventions for children and young people's mental health. Group-based interventions achieved a standardised mean difference of –1.06 (large effect) vs –0.32 for individual programmes. Informs the qualitative youth mental wellbeing narrative in the Full Report. No direct £ proxy applied — cited as qualitative evidence of the group sport advantage. |
Smith et al. (2024) |
| Physical activity, loneliness and wellbeing |
Narrative only — no £ proxy applied |
Sport England Active Lives Survey (November 2022–23) — population-level data evidencing the association between physical inactivity and loneliness across all age groups, and lower wellbeing scores in more deprived areas. Cited in the adult players section of the Full Report as a qualitative strength. A £ monetisation of loneliness reduction is not yet included in this model — the evidence base is robust but proxy value methodology is not yet settled at national level. |
Active Lives Survey, Nov 2022–23 |
| IMD deprivation wellbeing uplift |
×1.10 for IMD Deciles 1–3 |
A 10% uplift is applied to participant wellbeing values for clubs in the most deprived areas of England (IMD Deciles 1–3, top 30% most deprived). Grounded in Sport England's Active Lives Survey (November 2022–23) evidence of lower baseline wellbeing and stronger association between inactivity and poor outcomes in deprived communities. The uplift reflects that marginal wellbeing gains from sport participation are larger where baseline conditions are worse. Applied only where the postcode lookup confirms IMD Decile 1–3; 1.0× otherwise. |
Active Lives Survey, Nov 2022–23 |